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![]() ![]() 5.3.3 part III - how do SD and SE change as sample size (n) increases?.5.3 Using R to generate fake data to explore the standard error.5.2 Using Google Sheets to generate fake data to explore the standard error. ![]() 5.1 The sample standard deviation vs. the standard error of the mean.5 Variability and Uncertainty (Standard Deviations, Standard Errors, Confidence Intervals).Part II: Some Fundamentals of Statistical Modeling.4.3.3 Adding modeled means and error intervals.4.3.1 Unpooled SE bars and confidence intervals.4.1.3 Combining Effects and Modeled mean and CI plots – an Effects and response plot.4.1.2 Pretty good plot component 2: Modeled mean and CI plot.4.1.1 Pretty good plot component 1: Modeled effects plot.4.1 Pretty good plots show the model and the data.3.3.2 Reshaping data – Transpose (turning the columns into rows).3 Data – Reading, Wrangling, and Writing.2.4.1 Create an R Markdown file for this Chapter.2.4 Create an R Studio Project for this textbook.2 Organization – R Projects and R Notebooks.1.6 Figure 2f – Effect of ASK1 on glucose infusion rate.1.5.5 Figure 2e – inference from the model.1.5 Figure 2e – Effect of ASK1 KO on glucose tolerance (summary measure).1.4 Figure 2d – Effect of ASK1 KO on glucose tolerance (whole curve).1.3.8 Figure 2c – inference from the model.1.3.6 Figure 2c – fit the model: m2 (gamma glm).1.3.4 Figure 2c – fit the model: m1 (lm).1.3.2 Figure 2c – check own computation of weight change v imported value.1.3 Figure 2c – Effect of ASK1 KO on final body weight.1.2 figure 2b – effect of ASK1 KO on growth (body weight).1 Analysis for Figure 2 of “ASK1 inhibits browning of white adipose tissue in obesity”. ![]() ![]() He's as tough to defend on offense as he is to get by on defense. There's a reason that so many NBA pundits are effusive in their praise of Jimmy Butler. ![]() A $100 wager would pay out $205 in cash profit if he succeeds. Considering he's increased his scoring average series-over-series this postseason, a good player prop to consider is Tatum to score 35+ points at +205 odds. He averaged 30.8 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. In four games against Miami in the regular season, Tatum played extremely well. He finished with 51 points, 13 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 steals in the game. Tatum's hot shooting put Game 7 out of reach, as he went 17-28 from the field (60.7%), including 6-10 from beyond the arc (60.0%). After struggling mightily from the field for three quarters in Game 6 on the road, Tatum dropped 16 of his 19 points in the fourth quarter, forcing Game 7 in Boston. If there was ever a time for Jayson Tatum to step up in a big way, it was Game 7 against the Philadelphia 76ers. The newest DraftKings promo code offer for Heat-Celtics Game 1 comes with a $150 guaranteed return in bonus bets for new players who sign up. If Butler is aggressive early, it could present some problems for the Celtics in front of their home crowd. Keep in mind that Boston sleepwalked through Game 1 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series against Philadelphia, allowing James Harden to go off for 45 points. There could be real value in taking Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat to pull off an upset in Game 1. That represents a 0.5-point move in favor of Boston since the initial line came out (Boston -8.0). The oddsmakers at DraftKings Sportsbook have installed the Celtics as a strong 8.5-point favorite at home in Game 1.
![]() You can look up all the courses located near your zip code or filter by course terrain or number of holes. One of the easiest ways to find a course near you is to check out DG Course Review. (Remember, the lower the score, the better!) Find a Course These points get added to your score when a disc goes out of bounds or lands in a hazard, such as a pond. Teens and adults can also take their game stakes up a notch by using penalty points. Par is usually listed on the signage next to each tee pad at a course. If you can come in under par, you’re doing extra great. ![]() Par is the number of throws estimated to make each hole. The advanced version: For an extra challenge, add in par.In that case, keep a tally of throws and announce the winner at the end. The regular version: Older kids might get more into the competition of keeping track of points and working on the strategy of their throws. ![]() Be open to ending the game early if your kid seems tired or overwhelmed. Keep things fun and take plenty of breaks. The simple version: With young kids, don’t worry about points or number of holes just focus on throwing toward the basket.You can play using simple rules for younger kids or more complex rules for older kids and adults. You start at a tee area and try to get your disc into the basket in as few throws as possible.ĭisc golf is adaptable. ![]() Instead of using golf clubs and balls, disc golfers try to fling frisbee discs into the baskets. Disc golf is more like ball golf: Players go through an outdoor course of 9-18 holes (each “hole” is actually a metal basket). Disc Golf 101ĭisc golf’s predecessor, ultimate frisbee, is a field sport like soccer or football. It’s easy to understand and fun to learn for younger and older kids.Ĭurious about disc golf? Read on. Our latest obsession: disc golf! It’s a little bit golf, a little bit ultimate frisbee, and a whole lot of fun.ĭisc golf is a great opportunity to get the whole family outdoors, moving their bodies, and enjoying quality time together. 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The tools allow for improvement or tuning SSDs for different demands, and utilizing them may improve the drive performance from losing some storage capacity.įor example, the SSD/Disk benchmark feature is common for most SSD health checkers, allowing users to measure SSD performance by the transfer speed test. Some SSD health check tools enable garbage collection and other parameters to optimize performance. Some can even detect bad sectors on an SSD that indicate SSD condition. SSD health check tools can help to quickly check whether an SSD is in good health, showing the current state and an SSD health status. What Are SSD Health Check and Diagnostic Tools? Most SSD health check tools test the transfer speed, measure performance, optimize the SSD, and even allow secure erasing of SSD data. There are many SSD health check tools, and the most effective tools are often free and provided by SSD manufacturers. ![]() So, an SSD health check is essential, especially for large organizations where data transfer speed plays an important role. However, the performance of the SSDs can decrease over time. While HDDs’ data transfer speed is generally 30 to 150 megabytes per second (MBps), a standard SSD can perform at speeds of 500 MBps, and NVMe SSDs can achieve up to 3,000 to 3,500 MBps. Solid-state drives (SSDs) have already taken the place of hard disk drives (HDD), as SSDs perform faster compared to conventional HDDs. ![]() ![]() ![]() To save the image in a separate file for later use, right-click the image and select Save as Picture. When you're done, select Keep Changes or Discard All Changes. To remove more parts of the picture, select Mark Areas to Remove and use the drawing pencil to mark those areas. If parts of the picture that you want to keep are magenta (marked for removal), select Mark Areas to Keep and use the free-form drawing pencil to mark the areas on the picture that you want to keep. If the default area isn't correct, go to Background Removal > Picture Tools and do one or both of the following: The default background area will be colored magenta to mark it for removal, while the foreground will retain its natural coloring. You might have to double-click the picture to select it and open the Picture Format tab. If you don't see Remove Background, make sure you have selected a picture. On the toolbar, select Picture Format > Remove Background, or Format > Remove Background. Select the picture that you want to remove the background from. Excel for Microsoft 365 Word for Microsoft 365 Outlook for Microsoft 365 PowerPoint for Microsoft 365 Project Online Desktop Client Excel for Microsoft 365 for Mac Word for Microsoft 365 for Mac Outlook for Microsoft 365 for Mac PowerPoint for Microsoft 365 for Mac Excel 2021 Word 2021 Outlook 2021 PowerPoint 2021 Project Professional 2021 Project Standard 2021 Word 2021 for Mac Outlook 2021 for Mac PowerPoint 2021 for Mac Excel 2019 Word 2019 Outlook 2019 PowerPoint 2019 Project Professional 2019 Project Standard 2019 Excel 2019 for Mac Word 2019 for Mac Outlook 2019 for Mac PowerPoint 2019 for Mac Excel 2016 Word 2016 Outlook 2016 PowerPoint 2016 Project Professional 2016 Project Standard 2016 Excel 2016 for Mac Word 2016 for Mac Outlook 2016 for Mac PowerPoint 2016 for Mac Excel 2013 Word 2013 Outlook 2013 PowerPoint 2013 Project Professional 2013 Project Standard 2013 Word 2010 PowerPoint 2010 Word for Mac 2011 Outlook for Mac 2011 PowerPoint for Mac 2011 Word Starter 2010 More. ![]() ![]() ![]() You don’t have to just go in and go “It’s a romantic comedy. ![]() You can make a great romantic comedy that’s well-written, well-acted, well-executed. But I’ve always thought no matter what genre you’re doing, whether a romantic comedy or a musical or a serious period drama, it’s either a good movie or it’s not. We got a little careless and the idea that it didn’t have to be a good film, slap some people together and do some formulaic crap, it’s a popcorn movie, whatever. Hey kids, shake it loose a lemon - something something something - gonna make a feather! Bliss.MARSDEN: We got a little haphazard in our making them. It would work even outside of the context of the film itself: Here are two lovers stranded in a shitty bar with cheap drinks “Bennie and the Jets” plays, and they react as any other living beings would. Even now, ten years out from the day this perfect moment in cinema history came down from on high, the meticulousness of the moment is burned in my memory. It’s just as memorable, even if its movie isn’t as good. “Bennie and the Jets” belongs to 27 Dresses like “Kiss Me” belongs to She’s All That, or the way the “I’m just a girl” scene belongs to Notting Hill. Because haven’t you wanted this to happen to you? Haven’t you begged to be at the right bar with the right crowd at the right time, when a song as easily lovable as “Bennie and the Jets” plays, so you can tower above them, sliding around gracefully on the slippery bar, a diva for the night? ![]() And as an audience, we’re all feeling ourselves, too. It’s the perfect “drunken rom-com scene” song, because it’s okay to sing the wrong words to this song who even knows what the right words are?Ĭut to: Kevin and Jane dancing on the bar, really feeling themselves. Once Elton John’s nonsense lyrics start, they’re given free reign to interpret them with feeling. “Bennie and the Jets” unfurls so sexily and specifically this gives our fair leads time to remark on the perfectness of the moment. It’s not like a Justin Timberlake song, where you have to give it a couple seconds to make sure you’re not confusing it with that other Justin Timberlake song, or an Aretha Franklin song, which requires precise levels of drunken shameless for one to even attempt to pull off her notes. There are so many important elements at play here, all of which happen to work perfectly: First, “Bennie and the Jets” is a song that you recognize immediately, as soon as “Bennie and the Jets” begins. And then it happens: A thunderstorm traps Jane and Kevin in a dive bar in the middle of nowhere. She frowns as she overhears her sister lie to the man of their dreams. Our female lead doesn’t know how to use fancy phones. In the 27 Dresses version of this scene, the usual mid-aughts hijinks ensue: Judy Greer is playing the underrated best friend. But then, when they’re at the right party, or they’ve had just enough to drink, their hearts soften, the perfect song plays, and voilà! They get a glimpse at their own potential happiness. They’re diametrically opposed in the same way every time - she’s uptight and driven, he’s relaxed and one pair of dirty New Balances away from looking the part of an over-30 fuckup - so they bicker furiously. (Merriam-Webster, get on this.) You know how these sorts of scenes usually go, but they’re still a delight to watch: Girl and boy share an adorable meet-cute. There should be a word for what happens when a perfect song is paired with a perfect romantic-comedy scene: “I Say a Little Prayer” in My Best Friend’s Wedding, “Lovefool” in Romeo + Juliet, “Rollin’ With My Homies” in Clueless, and “Bennie and the Jets” in 27 Dresses. But 27 Dresses does have something none of those other romantic comedies have to offer: the “Bennie and the Jets” scene. His cover is that he’s writing a regular column on the wedding of Jane’s bratty sister to Jane’s boss, whom she just happens to be secretly in love with. Jane ( Katherine Heigl) is the perpetual bridesmaid that New York Journal writer Kevin ( James Marsden) is secretly profiling. The movie itself is somewhere between Bride Wars and Something Borrowed: If it’s on USA Network and my roommate and I have a bottle of wine open, sure, I won’t change the channel immediately. ![]() There’s nothing really exceptional about 27 Dresses, which turns ten this week. ![]() ![]() Notice how it underlines my point, lends credibility to what I’m writing and gives you a welcome change of pace from my words – the perfect modern quote). Like their TV counterparts, sound bite-style quotes are brief: “One sentence is preferable,” according to John Campbell, “two is often okay, but three is usually one too many.” Their use quickly spread to radio which began using “actuality” snippets of speech and background sound to punctuate reporters’ accounts.įinally the sound bite spread to newspapers and magazines, replacing lengthy slabs of direct speech: the modern quote. Television directors responded with the sound bite, a snippet of video used to punctuate, emphasise or add credibility to a voice-over report. TV needs sights to see, sounds to hear, and things to happen. TV directors quickly found that voiceover reporting quickly becomes boring. But employing quotes like that, in the words of John Campbell, is “not using them well.” The modern quote is a different thing altogether. Reporters were – sometimes still are – taught to write like that: Using direct speech simply to give variety to reported speech. The quote is not used for any other purpose than to give an illusion of variety – to break long paragraphs of reported speech. In the second paragraph the writer has simply reproduced a slab of Smith’s speech using his exact words. “Despite the downturn, many Australian businesses cannot find the staff they need to compete against companies overseas that have lower labour costs and a better trained pool of talent to draw from,” he told senators. Like this: John Smith told the Senate it was high time the federal government spent more on education and training so that Australia could be more productive and competitive. Until television came along, quotes were mostly just that… slabs of direct speech used by reporters to lend variety to their reported speech. You were just drawn in by one from John Campbell. “Not all use them well.”Īs we battle the Internet, television and new media for the reader’s attention we don’t have many weapons in our armoury. “All journalists worthy of the name use quotes,” according to John Campbell, former editorial director of the giant Hearst magazine group in the US. The secret is to know how to use it well. ![]() One of the best weapons in a writer’s armoury is the quote. ![]() ![]() ![]() Hit the "Chat" button and continue to select the contact that you want to chat with. ![]() Just scroll right to reach the chat list directly. Now you are directed to a screen to send a snap. Open the Snapchat App on your mobile phone and then sign in with your Snapchat account. Hence, if you really want to keep your Snapchat history, you'd better make a Snapchat backup. Snapchat Backup - How to Save Your Snapchat Messages?Īctually, a Snapchat recovery tool can only help you to restore the messages that have been deleted recently and have not been covered. As for Android users, you can click to learn how to recover Snapchat messages on Android or restore Snapchat photos from Android. This is how to retrieve Snapchat messages on iPhone. Tap on the "Recover" button located at the lower right corner of the interface to recover your iPhone Snapchat messages and save them to computer. Just read and check the Snapchat messages that you want to recover. Choose "Messages" option located in the left panel and then all messages on your device will be displayed in the right column. Click on "Start Scan" to let the program scan and display all the files saved on your iPhone. After that, you will enter the "Recover from iOS Device" mode directly. Launch the installed program on your computer and connect your iPhone to the PC with a USB cable. So for the users who have lost some important files on their iPhones, this would be a good assistant.Īre you interested in this tool? If you are, just click the icon below to download the App on your computer and go with the prompts to properly install it.Īfter that, you can follow the steps below to retrieve Snapchat messages on iPhone. The recoverable file types include App photos, App videos, App audio, messages, contacts, call history, WhatsApp data, notes, calendars and many more. ![]() Except for that, it also allows you to extract other lost files from iOS device, iTunes backup or iCloud backup. IPhone Data Recovery is a powerful recovery tool that enables you to get back the deleted Snapchat messages with simple clicks. In this case, you have no other ways to retrieve the deleted messages but turn to a professional Snapchat recovery App - iPhone Data Recovery. Hence, most people fail to save or backup their wanted snaps in time. How to Recover Snapchat Messages on iPhone Using Snapchat Recovery App?Īs we have mentioned above, Snapchat messages would automatically disappeared once viewed. How to Recover Deleted SMS from iPhone?.How to Recover Deleted iMessages? (High Success Rate).It is possible that you also want to know: Fear not, there is still a way to get back all your lost messages and snaps on your iPhone. But this would also cause inconvenience when you wish to keep these messages. And if they have not been viewed in thirty days from the date of receiving, Snapchat server will automatically put them to trash also.Īnd all these functions are intelligently programmed to keep your Snapchat inbox uncluttered. The snaps on Snapchat will be cleaned automatically once received and opened by each recipient. And the same rule applies to all the group chat messages as well - all the messages will be erased 30 days after you receive them, even if you keep them unread. But you could also manually change the setting to 24 hours by going to the "Chat Settings" directly.īut remember, if your chats are left unopened for 30 days long, Snapchat server will automatically trash them. The fact is, once you view your messages or leave your chat window in a one-to-one conversation, Snapchat will erase them by default. Want to know how long your messages and photos can exactly last on your Snapchat server? Let's quickly scroll through: Snapchat servers are programmed to delete all your snaps and chats automatically on your iOS device right after they have been opened or timed out. When Does Snapchat Delete Snaps and Chats? Snapchat Backup - How to Save Your Snapchat Messages? How to Recover Snapchat Messages on iPhone Using Snapchat Recovery App? ![]() ![]() Toddler clocks are also great for toddlers and older kids who still wake up in the night. So set a bedtime/night time rule that when the light is off, or the clock doesn’t show the “Magic 7” yet, your child must remain in bed and quiet.įor the kiddos who regularly wake-up before 6:00 am, especially, teaching them they have to remain in bed, lying down, and quiet until their light comes on can actually re-train them to fall back asleep and re-set their body clocks to a more reasonable time!Īnd depending on your child’s age and “house rules,” you get to decide what happens when the light comes on – can the child get out of bed, or is that when a parent will come and get her?įor older children who can handle a bit more freedom, their rule might even be they need to stay in their room until the clock changes, but may read or play quietly until then. My favorite use of toddler clocks is for the toddlers and older kids who wake up super early. Although those early risers are cute, few people want to start their day before 6:00 am or if you’re a morning person, you probably want to start your day solo. How Toddler Clocks Can Support Your Child’s Sleep Early Morning Wakings The most popular toddler clocks, including my favorite.How to introduce a toddler clock to your child.What age you can start using a toddler clock.How toddler clocks can help your child sleep more independently.With this new found independence and language often comes some sort of sleep regression or change in sleep patterns, and one great tool to introduce at this time is a toddler clock!Īround two years (and older) is a great time to introduce a clock, as toddlers have some understanding of rules and boundaries and they get excited about new or special gadgets.Įven if your toddler is not struggling with sleep, it’s still a great tool to introduce/implement! In this post I’ll share: Whether you call them the “Terrible Twos and Threes” or “Terrific Twos and Threes,” we all know that toddler life is crazy – good crazy and messy crazy. ![]() |